Trump Misjudges Europe's Challenges, Analyst Says
A new national security strategy by Donald Trump has sparked controversy over the US president's assessment of Europe. In his plan, Trump warns that "woke" policies and uncontrolled immigration could lead to a gradual "civilisational erasure" in the region.
However, an economist from New York, Nouriel Roubini, argues that this is not the case. Instead, he believes that the real threat facing Europe lies within its own economic and technological backwardness.
Over the past few decades, the US has seen significant growth in GDP, with a 87% increase between 2008 and 2023, compared to just 13.5% in Europe. The European Union's GDP per capita has also declined over this period, falling from 76.5% of the US level to 50%.
Roubini attributes this disparity to stronger productivity growth in the US, largely driven by technological innovation. "Today, roughly half of the world's 50 largest technology firms are American, while only four are European," he writes.
The economic gap between Europe and the US also has implications for the region's technological capabilities. The US leads in various fields such as AI, machine learning, and defence technologies, with many of these innovations having significant civilian applications.
Europe faces an existential threat if it fails to address its structural weaknesses, Roubini warns. "If Europe allows its technological lag to grow over the coming decades, it risks prolonged stagnation and continued economic decline relative to the US and China."
Despite this, there are reasons for optimism. European policymakers have begun to advance serious reform proposals aimed at addressing the region's challenges. These include initiatives to improve regulation, increase investment in defence, and enhance education systems.
Ultimately, Europe retains considerable strengths that could support higher levels of commercial innovation. With the right environment and incentives, these assets could help unleash a wave of investment and drive growth.
Roubini concludes by cautioning that Europe is at an inflection point, with its technological decline happening gradually but potentially irreversibly. If the region fails to confront its structural weaknesses, it may experience a sudden loss of economic relevance, as bankruptcy can occur both gradually and suddenly.
A new national security strategy by Donald Trump has sparked controversy over the US president's assessment of Europe. In his plan, Trump warns that "woke" policies and uncontrolled immigration could lead to a gradual "civilisational erasure" in the region.
However, an economist from New York, Nouriel Roubini, argues that this is not the case. Instead, he believes that the real threat facing Europe lies within its own economic and technological backwardness.
Over the past few decades, the US has seen significant growth in GDP, with a 87% increase between 2008 and 2023, compared to just 13.5% in Europe. The European Union's GDP per capita has also declined over this period, falling from 76.5% of the US level to 50%.
Roubini attributes this disparity to stronger productivity growth in the US, largely driven by technological innovation. "Today, roughly half of the world's 50 largest technology firms are American, while only four are European," he writes.
The economic gap between Europe and the US also has implications for the region's technological capabilities. The US leads in various fields such as AI, machine learning, and defence technologies, with many of these innovations having significant civilian applications.
Europe faces an existential threat if it fails to address its structural weaknesses, Roubini warns. "If Europe allows its technological lag to grow over the coming decades, it risks prolonged stagnation and continued economic decline relative to the US and China."
Despite this, there are reasons for optimism. European policymakers have begun to advance serious reform proposals aimed at addressing the region's challenges. These include initiatives to improve regulation, increase investment in defence, and enhance education systems.
Ultimately, Europe retains considerable strengths that could support higher levels of commercial innovation. With the right environment and incentives, these assets could help unleash a wave of investment and drive growth.
Roubini concludes by cautioning that Europe is at an inflection point, with its technological decline happening gradually but potentially irreversibly. If the region fails to confront its structural weaknesses, it may experience a sudden loss of economic relevance, as bankruptcy can occur both gradually and suddenly.