US President Donald Trump has been waging a Latin American campaign against Colombian President Gustavo Petro, employing tactics eerily similar to those used against Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro.
In Colombia, where there are no allegations of Maduro-like drug trafficking or regime corruption, Trump is hell-bent on painting Petro as an accessory to cocaine production and trafficking. This vicious narrative has been peddled by Trump in the past year, with escalating threats of military intervention, US sanctions, and even phone calls aimed at goading Petro into a confrontation.
Critics argue that this is not a calculated strategy, but rather a way for Trump to vent his frustrations against an adversary who refuses to toe his line. Petro's unapologetic stance on social media and his lengthy speeches have become a hallmark of his presidency, which some see as an asset rather than a liability.
Colombia is uniquely positioned to withstand US pressure due to its strong institutional ties with the US military and police forces, making it unlikely that Trump's aggressive tactics will achieve their intended goal of bringing Petro down. The Colombian president has repeatedly asserted his commitment to addressing cocaine production, but in a manner that differs significantly from Trump's approach.
In fact, Petro's government has made significant strides in seizing and dismantling cocaine trafficking networks, with the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime estimating 836 tonnes seized between January and October 2022. However, this progress is being eroded by rising coca cultivation and potential production – a situation that Trump would rather pin on Petro himself.
As Colombia prepares for legislative elections in March and presidential polls in May, many analysts are predicting that the belligerent US stance will galvanize support for left-wing candidates like Iván Cepeda. Meanwhile, right-wing candidate Paloma Valencia is confident that her party's more measured approach to foreign policy will win over Colombian voters.
Despite this, Trump remains determined to keep Petro and Colombia on his mind, a tactic that has proven successful against Maduro in the past. In their conversation earlier this week, Petro managed to steer the discussion towards shared US interests, including combating ELN fighters who often cross into Venezuela from Colombia.
As a seasoned observer of US-Colombia relations, Cynthia Arnson noted that "it's taken Herculean efforts by diplomats on both sides to keep the relationship from imploding." However, deep-seated animosities remain between Petro and Trump, and Maduro's own experience suggests that even diplomatic overtures may not be enough to calm the storm.
In Colombia, where there are no allegations of Maduro-like drug trafficking or regime corruption, Trump is hell-bent on painting Petro as an accessory to cocaine production and trafficking. This vicious narrative has been peddled by Trump in the past year, with escalating threats of military intervention, US sanctions, and even phone calls aimed at goading Petro into a confrontation.
Critics argue that this is not a calculated strategy, but rather a way for Trump to vent his frustrations against an adversary who refuses to toe his line. Petro's unapologetic stance on social media and his lengthy speeches have become a hallmark of his presidency, which some see as an asset rather than a liability.
Colombia is uniquely positioned to withstand US pressure due to its strong institutional ties with the US military and police forces, making it unlikely that Trump's aggressive tactics will achieve their intended goal of bringing Petro down. The Colombian president has repeatedly asserted his commitment to addressing cocaine production, but in a manner that differs significantly from Trump's approach.
In fact, Petro's government has made significant strides in seizing and dismantling cocaine trafficking networks, with the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime estimating 836 tonnes seized between January and October 2022. However, this progress is being eroded by rising coca cultivation and potential production – a situation that Trump would rather pin on Petro himself.
As Colombia prepares for legislative elections in March and presidential polls in May, many analysts are predicting that the belligerent US stance will galvanize support for left-wing candidates like Iván Cepeda. Meanwhile, right-wing candidate Paloma Valencia is confident that her party's more measured approach to foreign policy will win over Colombian voters.
Despite this, Trump remains determined to keep Petro and Colombia on his mind, a tactic that has proven successful against Maduro in the past. In their conversation earlier this week, Petro managed to steer the discussion towards shared US interests, including combating ELN fighters who often cross into Venezuela from Colombia.
As a seasoned observer of US-Colombia relations, Cynthia Arnson noted that "it's taken Herculean efforts by diplomats on both sides to keep the relationship from imploding." However, deep-seated animosities remain between Petro and Trump, and Maduro's own experience suggests that even diplomatic overtures may not be enough to calm the storm.