Michigan's cannabis market is in trouble, with a new tax threatening to shut down more dispensaries and lay off thousands of employees. The state's recreational cannabis industry has been struggling since its inception in December 2019, with prices plummeting and over 550 businesses closing.
The latest numbers show that sales have declined by 3.1% from last year, with adult-use dispensaries ringing up $3.17 billion in revenue. While this may seem like a small decline, it's a worrying trend for an industry that has already seen significant growth.
The problem is an oversaturated supply, with too many growers and processors entering the market at once. This has led to a price war, with prices falling by as much as 25% in some cases. The average retail price for an ounce of recreational flower fell to $58.20 in December 2025, down from $69.20 a year earlier.
The new 24% wholesale tax is expected to exacerbate the problem, forcing more businesses to close and lay off employees. The tax will also reduce the amount of money that dispensaries and processors can make on each sale, making it harder for them to stay in business.
"It's like they took advantage of a fledgling industry that isn't organized," says Stuart Carter, owner of Utopia Gardens and a cultivation facility. "Now everyone is scrambling to figure out what to do."
The tax will also limit competition in some areas, with municipalities limiting the number of dispensaries allowed. This could have significant implications for smaller cities like Hazel Park and Ferndale, which rely heavily on cannabis taxes.
For cannabis workers, this is a nerve-racking year. Michigan's regulated cannabis industry remains a major employer, but the uncertainty surrounding the new tax has left many employees worried about their jobs.
As one dispensary owner puts it, "People are really scared. I have employees asking me if they're going to still have a job."
The state of Michigan is also at risk, with the loss of excise and sales taxes expected to have significant implications for local budgets. The payments have become an important revenue stream in some cities and townships.
"It's like the state is going to lose money because of this tax," says Stewart. "And if that happens, it's going to be harder for the industry to recover."
For now, dispensaries and processors will have to find a way to adapt to the new tax. But as one cannabis business owner puts it, "It's not going to be easy."
The latest numbers show that sales have declined by 3.1% from last year, with adult-use dispensaries ringing up $3.17 billion in revenue. While this may seem like a small decline, it's a worrying trend for an industry that has already seen significant growth.
The problem is an oversaturated supply, with too many growers and processors entering the market at once. This has led to a price war, with prices falling by as much as 25% in some cases. The average retail price for an ounce of recreational flower fell to $58.20 in December 2025, down from $69.20 a year earlier.
The new 24% wholesale tax is expected to exacerbate the problem, forcing more businesses to close and lay off employees. The tax will also reduce the amount of money that dispensaries and processors can make on each sale, making it harder for them to stay in business.
"It's like they took advantage of a fledgling industry that isn't organized," says Stuart Carter, owner of Utopia Gardens and a cultivation facility. "Now everyone is scrambling to figure out what to do."
The tax will also limit competition in some areas, with municipalities limiting the number of dispensaries allowed. This could have significant implications for smaller cities like Hazel Park and Ferndale, which rely heavily on cannabis taxes.
For cannabis workers, this is a nerve-racking year. Michigan's regulated cannabis industry remains a major employer, but the uncertainty surrounding the new tax has left many employees worried about their jobs.
As one dispensary owner puts it, "People are really scared. I have employees asking me if they're going to still have a job."
The state of Michigan is also at risk, with the loss of excise and sales taxes expected to have significant implications for local budgets. The payments have become an important revenue stream in some cities and townships.
"It's like the state is going to lose money because of this tax," says Stewart. "And if that happens, it's going to be harder for the industry to recover."
For now, dispensaries and processors will have to find a way to adapt to the new tax. But as one cannabis business owner puts it, "It's not going to be easy."